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2024-12-13 05:43:51

Market News: Most members of the US House of Representatives support the $895 billion national defense policy bill, and voting continues.Promoting Peace and Cooperation Ethiopia and Somalia signed the Ankara Declaration. On December 11th, local time, under the mediation of Turkish President Erdogan, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abi and Somali President Mahmoud signed the Ankara Declaration in Ankara, Turkey, announcing that they would promote peace and cooperation.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.


Most ETFs in the US stock market closed up, with semiconductor ETFs rising by over 2.4%, Broadcom by over 6.6% and NVIDIA by over 3.1%. On Wednesday (December 11th), semiconductor ETFs closed up by 2.45%, Internet stock index ETF rose by over 2%, global aviation ETF, optional consumer ETF, technology industry ETF and global technology stock index ETF rose by 1.81%-1.17%. Semiconductor concept stocks rose almost across the board, Broadcom rose by 6.63%, NVIDIA Double Long ETF rose by more than 6.1%, Laidisi Semiconductor rose by more than 5.9%, NVIDIA rose by 3.14%, while Intel, Cisco, stmicroelectronics ADR and Chipscreen fell by 0.2%-0.65%.The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, and the Japanese yen once rose to 151. The Canadian dollar almost retreated the increase since the Bank of Canada cut interest rates. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.663 points, which was as low as 106.268 points at 10:56 Beijing time, and then as high as 106.806 points at 18:11. USD/JPY rose 0.34% to 152.47 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.02-152.82 yen. At 17:11, the daily low was refreshed and instantly reversed. When the US CPI data was released, the daily high was refreshed.Israeli air strikes in southern Lebanon killed five people. On the 11th, Lebanese health authorities said that Israeli air strikes in southern Lebanon that day had caused five deaths. On the same day, the Lebanese military issued a statement saying that a fierce exchange of fire was observed between the Israeli army and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon near the temporary border between Lebanon and Israel. In this regard, the Israeli army and Hezbollah have not responded for the time being.


At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the main contract of CME bitcoin futures BTC was $102,000, up 5.44% from the end of new york on Tuesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,855.00, up 4.70% from Tuesday.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened up 17.50 points, or 0.21%, at 8371.1 points on Thursday, December 12th.

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